Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matthijs de Ligt remove | Lisandro Martínez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 28 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Manchester United · Premier League | Manchester United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1715 | 1715 |
| League minutes | 1170 (34%) | 1231 (36%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 95 | 93 |
| Market value | €30.0M | €40.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €19.6M – €43.5M | €16.5M – €41.4M |
| Model value | €18.6M – €44.3M | €13.9M – €39.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €12.2M – €29.1M | €14.7M – €24.4M |
| Bargain Index | 6/100 | 18/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€19.6M – €43.5M Model value (performance-implied)€18.6M – €44.3M Projected value (24 months)€12.2M – €29.1M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€16.5M – €41.4M Model value (performance-implied)€13.9M – €39.0M Projected value (24 months)€14.7M – €24.4M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matthijs de Ligt and Lisandro Martínez
- On value for money the model prefers Martínez (Bargain Index 18 vs 6) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Ligt Moderate, Martínez High.