Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Kristoffer Ajer remove | Maximilian Kilman remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 29 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Brentford FC · Premier League | West Ham United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1612 | 1520 |
| League minutes | 1809 (53%) | 1558 (46%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 90 |
| Market value | €18.0M | €13.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €11.1M – €24.0M | €6.9M – €15.3M |
| Model value | €15.8M – €38.1M | €10.4M – €32.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €6.1M – €16.3M | €3.2M – €7.8M |
| Bargain Index | 15/100 | 4/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€11.1M – €24.0M Model value (performance-implied)€15.8M – €38.1M Projected value (24 months)€6.1M – €16.3M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.9M – €15.3M Model value (performance-implied)€10.4M – €32.1M Projected value (24 months)€3.2M – €7.8M Dashed line: current market value (€13.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Kristoffer Ajer and Maximilian Kilman
- Kilman is estimated to cost far less (€10.7M vs €16.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ajer (Bargain Index 15 vs 4) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Ajer Low, Kilman Moderate.