Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gil Dias remove | Murilo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 31 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | FC Famalicão · Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1406 | 1303 |
| League minutes | 2507 (82%) | 2592 (85%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 59 | 43 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €666k – €1.6M | €246k – €822k |
| Model value | €1.7M – €5.2M | €744k – €1.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €870k – €2.0M | €319k – €610k |
| Bargain Index | 88/100 | 38/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€666k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €5.2M Projected value (24 months)€870k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€246k – €822k Model value (performance-implied)€744k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€319k – €610k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gil Dias and Murilo
- Murilo has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.52 vs 0.41 per 90).
- Murilo is estimated to cost far less (€490k vs €888k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Dias (Bargain Index 88 vs 38) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.