Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Thibaud Verlinden remove | Dario Špikić remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 27 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Jupiler Pro League | Rio Ave FC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1329 | 1254 |
| League minutes | 1189 (44%) | 1798 (59%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.48 | 0.39 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 33 | 23 |
| Market value | €1.2M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €411k – €1.2M | €359k – €900k |
| Model value | €632k – €1.6M | €498k – €1.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €374k – €1.3M | €450k – €1.2M |
| Bargain Index | 47/100 | 62/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€411k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€632k – €1.6M Projected value (24 months)€374k – €1.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€359k – €900k Model value (performance-implied)€498k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€450k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Thibaud Verlinden and Dario Špikić
- Verlinden has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.48 vs 0.39 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Špikić (Bargain Index 62 vs 47) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Verlinden High, Špikić Moderate.