Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Kylian Mbappé remove | Lautaro Martínez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Real Madrid · Laliga | Inter Milan · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1745 | 1722 |
| League minutes | 2606 (76%) | 2178 (64%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 1.04 | 0.95 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 100 | 99 |
| Market value | €180M | €85.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €133M – €226M | €53.3M – €95.6M |
| Model value | €53.4M – €167M | €37.6M – €101M |
| Projected value (24m) | €73.5M – €143M | €42.8M – €68.1M |
| Bargain Index | 3/100 | 13/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€133M – €226M Model value (performance-implied)€53.4M – €167M Projected value (24 months)€73.5M – €143M Dashed line: current market value (€180M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€53.3M – €95.6M Model value (performance-implied)€37.6M – €101M Projected value (24 months)€42.8M – €68.1M Dashed line: current market value (€85.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Kylian Mbappé and Lautaro Martínez
- Martínez is estimated to cost far less (€70.6M vs €165M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Martínez (Bargain Index 13 vs 3) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.