Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Mikel Oyarzabal remove | Toni Martínez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Real Sociedad · Laliga | Deportivo Alavés · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1462 | 1410 |
| League minutes | 2715 (79%) | 2730 (80%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 88 | 76 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €7.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €14.9M – €28.2M | €4.3M – €9.7M |
| Model value | €7.3M – €30.5M | €4.9M – €16.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.2M – €17.7M | €2.2M – €9.0M |
| Bargain Index | 1/100 | 24/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€14.9M – €28.2M Model value (performance-implied)€7.3M – €30.5M Projected value (24 months)€7.2M – €17.7M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.3M – €9.7M Model value (performance-implied)€4.9M – €16.2M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €9.0M Dashed line: current market value (€7.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Mikel Oyarzabal and Toni Martínez
- Martínez is estimated to cost far less (€6.8M vs €20.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Martínez (Bargain Index 24 vs 1) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Oyarzabal Low, Martínez Moderate.