Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Koki Ogawa remove | Sory Kaba remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 30 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1362 | 1329 |
| League minutes | 1274 (42%) | 1126 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.85 | 0.56 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 33 | 29 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €558k – €1.8M | €266k – €1.4M |
| Model value | €610k – €1.8M | €439k – €2.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €678k – €2.1M | €268k – €810k |
| Bargain Index | 75/100 | 20/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€558k – €1.8M Model value (performance-implied)€610k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€678k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€266k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€439k – €2.3M Projected value (24 months)€268k – €810k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Koki Ogawa and Sory Kaba
- Ogawa is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Kaba plays in a stronger league (0.65 vs 0.43); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- On value for money the model prefers Ogawa (Bargain Index 75 vs 20) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Ogawa High, Kaba Moderate.