Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Bryan Heynen remove | Orbelín Pineda remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 30 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | KRC Genk · Jupiler Pro League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1471 | 1512 |
| League minutes | 2592 (96%) | 1982 (85%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 75 | 73 |
| Market value | €8.0M | €7.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.0M – €7.3M | €1.7M – €5.9M |
| Model value | €3.4M – €9.5M | €1.5M – €6.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.6M – €6.1M | €1.8M – €4.7M |
| Bargain Index | 30/100 | 44/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.0M – €7.3M Model value (performance-implied)€3.4M – €9.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €6.1M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €5.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €6.1M Projected value (24 months)€1.8M – €4.7M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Bryan Heynen and Orbelín Pineda
- Heynen plays in a stronger league (0.65 vs 0.42); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Pineda is estimated to cost far less (€2.3M vs €4.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Pineda (Bargain Index 44 vs 30) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Heynen Low, Pineda Moderate.