Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Rodri remove | Douglas Luiz remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 28 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Manchester City · Premier League | Aston Villa · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1809 | 1692 |
| League minutes | 1514 (44%) | 922 (27%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 88 |
| Market value | €50.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €18.8M – €45.8M | €11.4M – €20.6M |
| Model value | €14.0M – €30.1M | €10.4M – €32.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €14.6M – €33.2M | €6.6M – €16.1M |
| Bargain Index | 38/100 | 4/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€18.8M – €45.8M Model value (performance-implied)€14.0M – €30.1M Projected value (24 months)€14.6M – €33.2M Dashed line: current market value (€50.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€11.4M – €20.6M Model value (performance-implied)€10.4M – €32.0M Projected value (24 months)€6.6M – €16.1M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Rodri and Douglas Luiz
- Rodri was used far more by the club (44% of minutes vs 27%).
- Luiz is estimated to cost far less (€15.8M vs €25.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Rodri (Bargain Index 38 vs 4) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.