Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Simone Canestrelli remove | Victor Nelsson remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 27 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Pisa Sporting Club · Serie A | Hellas Verona · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1260 | 1269 |
| League minutes | 3201 (94%) | 3316 (97%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.02 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 55 | 70 |
| Market value | €4.5M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.0M – €5.3M | €2.5M – €5.2M |
| Model value | €1.1M – €4.7M | €1.9M – €5.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.2M – €7.1M | €3.0M – €6.4M |
| Bargain Index | 44/100 | 74/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €5.3M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €4.7M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €7.1M Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €5.2M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €5.4M Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €6.4M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Simone Canestrelli and Victor Nelsson
- On value for money the model prefers Nelsson (Bargain Index 74 vs 44) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.