Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Kevin Nisbet remove | Greg Kiltie remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Left winger |
| Club · league | Aberdeen FC · Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1119 | 1104 |
| League minutes | 1818 (61%) | 1894 (64%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.49 | 0.38 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 15 | 11 |
| Market value | €1.2M | €250k |
| Estimated acquisition | €436k – €1.1M | €61k – €187k |
| Model value | €401k – €557k | €313k – €528k |
| Projected value (24m) | €386k – €1.1M | €164k – €277k |
| Bargain Index | 53/100 | 91/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€436k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€401k – €557k Projected value (24 months)€386k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€61k – €187k Model value (performance-implied)€313k – €528k Projected value (24 months)€164k – €277k Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Kevin Nisbet and Greg Kiltie
- Kiltie is estimated to cost far less (€82k vs €677k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Kiltie (Bargain Index 91 vs 53) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Nisbet Moderate, Kiltie High.