Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Sergiño Dest remove | Gustavo Mantuan remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 25 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1606 | 1597 |
| League minutes | 2204 (72%) | 1933 (72%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 70 | 73 |
| Market value | €18.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €11.1M – €21.1M | €2.7M – €6.2M |
| Model value | €3.0M – €10.9M | €3.6M – €12.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €8.5M – €22.0M | €3.2M – €8.9M |
| Bargain Index | 43/100 | 68/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€11.1M – €21.1M Model value (performance-implied)€3.0M – €10.9M Projected value (24 months)€8.5M – €22.0M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €6.2M Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €12.6M Projected value (24 months)€3.2M – €8.9M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Sergiño Dest and Gustavo Mantuan
- Mantuan is estimated to cost far less (€4.5M vs €15.6M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mantuan (Bargain Index 68 vs 43) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Dest Low, Mantuan Moderate.