
Sergiño Dest
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sergiño Dest's performance-implied value at EUR 3.0M-10.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.1M-21.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.5M-22.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 43
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 70th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €15.6M vs market €18.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2204 (72% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 70 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1606
- Opponent strength
- 1287
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €8.5M – €22.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -46% to +18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RB | 27 | 2204 | 72% | 1 | 7 | 0.33 | 0.13 | 1287 | 1606 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | RB | 7 | 375 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.10 | 1358 | 1632 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | LB | 25 | 2126 | 69% | 2 | 6 | 0.34 | 0.13 | 1355 | 1659 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | AC Milan | Serie A | RB | 8 | 327 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1476 | 1622 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | RB | 21 | 1515 | 44% | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 1512 | 1686 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | RB | 30 | 1913 | 56% | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 1552 | 1743 | 1.10 |
| 2020/21 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 3 | 74 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1262 | 1722 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 20 | 1445 | 64% | 0 | 5 | 0.31 | 0.09 | 1347 | 1680 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 456 | 0 | 1 | 1666 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 254 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | United States | 3 | 166 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1297 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 646 | 0 | 1 | 1637 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 1525 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | AC Milan | 4 | 188 | 0 | 0 | 1689 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | AC Milan | 1 | 110 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Supercoppa Italiana | AC Milan | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1704 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | FC Barcelona | 5 | 274 | 0 | 0 | 1464 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 4 | 229 | 0 | 0 | 1687 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 7 | 587 | 1 | 0 | 1574 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 3 | 200 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1552 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 5 | 405 | 0 | 0 | 1611 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 360 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 3 | 163 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2019/20 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1642 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Boscagli Eredivisie · 2024 | 27 | €27.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Sacha Boey Super Lig · 2023 | 23 | €16.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Jetro Willems Eredivisie · 2017 | 23 | €7.5M | €5.0M | fell |
| Davinson Sánchez Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €17.0M | €16.0M | flat |
| Nélson Semedo Liga Portugal · 2017 | 24 | €20.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Odilon Kossounou Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 20 | €13.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Bright Osayi-Samuel Super Lig · 2024 | 26 | €8.5M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Barcelona | PSV | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | PSV | Barcelona | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 21 Aug 2023 | Barcelona | PSV | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | AC Milan | Barcelona | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Barcelona | AC Milan | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 1 Oct 2020 | Ajax | Barcelona | €21.0M | €18.0M |
| 12 Sept 2019 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €600k |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Ajax U19 | Ajax U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Almere City FC | Ajax Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.