Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Pedro Díaz remove | Manu Morlanes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 27 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Rayo Vallecano · Laliga | RCD Mallorca · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1518 | 1421 |
| League minutes | 1870 (55%) | 1775 (52%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 61 | 61 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €2.4M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.2M – €3.3M | €950k – €2.7M |
| Model value | €2.3M – €6.6M | €2.6M – €6.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €4.1M | €1.0M – €3.1M |
| Bargain Index | 75/100 | 61/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €3.3M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €6.6M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €4.1M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€950k – €2.7M Model value (performance-implied)€2.6M – €6.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.0M – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.4M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Pedro Díaz and Manu Morlanes
- Morlanes has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.21 vs 0.11 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Díaz (Bargain Index 75 vs 61) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Díaz Moderate, Morlanes Low.