Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Moise Kean remove | Hugo Duro remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | ACF Fiorentina · Serie A | Valencia CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1506 | 1497 |
| League minutes | 2041 (60%) | 1982 (58%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 90 | 82 |
| Market value | €32.0M | €12.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €22.3M – €40.0M | €7.5M – €15.0M |
| Model value | €9.5M – €38.1M | €8.7M – €29.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €12.1M – €29.2M | €4.5M – €13.0M |
| Bargain Index | 6/100 | 19/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€22.3M – €40.0M Model value (performance-implied)€9.5M – €38.1M Projected value (24 months)€12.1M – €29.2M Dashed line: current market value (€32.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€7.5M – €15.0M Model value (performance-implied)€8.7M – €29.3M Projected value (24 months)€4.5M – €13.0M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Moise Kean and Hugo Duro
- Duro is estimated to cost far less (€11.4M vs €30.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Duro (Bargain Index 19 vs 6) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.