Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Moisés remove | Rafa Soares remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | PFK CSKA Moskva · Premier Liga | FC Famalicão · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1436 | 1406 |
| League minutes | 1719 (64%) | 1708 (56%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 59 | 53 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €963k – €3.7M | €211k – €1.1M |
| Model value | €1.2M – €3.6M | €616k – €3.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €881k – €2.3M | €362k – €785k |
| Bargain Index | 6/100 | 53/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€963k – €3.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €3.6M Projected value (24 months)€881k – €2.3M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€211k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€616k – €3.3M Projected value (24 months)€362k – €785k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Moisés and Rafa Soares
- Soares is estimated to cost far less (€555k vs €2.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Soares (Bargain Index 53 vs 6) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Moisés Very High, Soares High.