Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Julian Ryerson remove | Alexis Saelemaekers remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 27 |
| Position | Right midfielder | Right midfielder |
| Club · league | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | AC Milan · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1656 | 1570 |
| League minutes | 2274 (74%) | 2802 (82%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.59 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 93 | 87 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €20.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €17.2M – €25.7M | €15.4M – €20.9M |
| Model value | €20.6M – €38.3M | €11.6M – €30.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €9.3M – €20.0M | €8.8M – €24.2M |
| Bargain Index | 8/100 | 25/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€17.2M – €25.7M Model value (performance-implied)€20.6M – €38.3M Projected value (24 months)€9.3M – €20.0M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€15.4M – €20.9M Model value (performance-implied)€11.6M – €30.8M Projected value (24 months)€8.8M – €24.2M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Julian Ryerson and Alexis Saelemaekers
- Ryerson has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.31 vs 0.20 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Saelemaekers (Bargain Index 25 vs 8) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.