Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ivan Oleynikov remove | Jovane Cabral remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga | CF Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1262 | 1195 |
| League minutes | 1506 (56%) | 1679 (55%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 27 | 20 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €589k – €1.6M | €281k – €1.0M |
| Model value | €807k – €1.3M | €508k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €761k – €2.5M | €457k – €989k |
| Bargain Index | 82/100 | 72/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€589k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€807k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€761k – €2.5M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€281k – €1.0M Model value (performance-implied)€508k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€457k – €989k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ivan Oleynikov and Jovane Cabral
- On value for money the model prefers Oleynikov (Bargain Index 82 vs 72) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Oleynikov Very High, Cabral Moderate.