Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Carlens Arcus remove | Jonas Föhrenbach remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 30 |
| Position | Right-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Angers SCO · Ligue 1 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1306 | 1323 |
| League minutes | 2045 (67%) | 2327 (76%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 50 | 55 |
| Market value | €1.8M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €452k – €1.4M | €249k – €797k |
| Model value | €1.1M – €2.5M | €1.1M – €3.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €575k – €1.4M | €339k – €928k |
| Bargain Index | 38/100 | 69/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€452k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €2.5M Projected value (24 months)€575k – €1.4M Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€249k – €797k Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €3.1M Projected value (24 months)€339k – €928k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Carlens Arcus and Jonas Föhrenbach
- Föhrenbach is estimated to cost far less (€332k vs €603k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Föhrenbach (Bargain Index 69 vs 38) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.