Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Aitor Ruibal remove | Lucas Höler remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Position | Right winger | Second striker |
| Club · league | Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1549 | 1551 |
| League minutes | 1814 (53%) | 2044 (67%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 80 | 82 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.5M – €4.3M | €1.0M – €3.5M |
| Model value | €3.6M – €9.4M | €2.7M – €7.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.1M – €2.9M | €836k – €2.1M |
| Bargain Index | 15/100 | 4/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €4.3M Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €9.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.5M Model value (performance-implied)€2.7M – €7.4M Projected value (24 months)€836k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Aitor Ruibal and Lucas Höler
- On value for money the model prefers Ruibal (Bargain Index 15 vs 4) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.