Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Edgaras Utkus remove | Boris Popović remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League | FC Arouca · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1325 | 1310 |
| League minutes | 1451 (54%) | 1158 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 29 | 25 |
| Market value | €1.6M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €604k – €1.9M | €379k – €1.2M |
| Model value | €581k – €2.2M | €452k – €1.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €648k – €1.7M | €532k – €1.4M |
| Bargain Index | 48/100 | 69/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€604k – €1.9M Model value (performance-implied)€581k – €2.2M Projected value (24 months)€648k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.6M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€379k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€452k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€532k – €1.4M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Edgaras Utkus and Boris Popović
- Utkus was used far more by the club (54% of minutes vs 38%).
- Popović is estimated to cost far less (€729k vs €1.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Popović (Bargain Index 69 vs 48) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Utkus Moderate, Popović High.