Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu remove | Marquinhos remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Fenerbahce · Super Lig | FK Spartak Moskva · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1479 | 1443 |
| League minutes | 1982 (65%) | 1834 (68%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 74 | 56 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €7.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €13.5M – €20.9M | €2.9M – €7.7M |
| Model value | €3.8M – €20.5M | €1.9M – €8.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.2M – €15.2M | €3.1M – €8.2M |
| Bargain Index | 3/100 | 46/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€13.5M – €20.9M Model value (performance-implied)€3.8M – €20.5M Projected value (24 months)€7.2M – €15.2M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €7.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €8.4M Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €8.2M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Kerem Aktürkoğlu and Marquinhos
- Marquinhos plays in a stronger league (0.56 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Marquinhos is estimated to cost far less (€5.5M vs €16.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Marquinhos (Bargain Index 46 vs 3) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.