Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Sam Lammers remove | Davie Selke remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 31 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | FC Twente Enschede · Eredivisie | Basaksehir FK · Super Lig |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1403 | 1357 |
| League minutes | 1546 (51%) | 1204 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 55 | 49 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €2.8M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.1M – €3.6M | €685k – €2.4M |
| Model value | €1.7M – €8.8M | €609k – €2.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €3.4M | €639k – €2.3M |
| Bargain Index | 55/100 | 41/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.6M Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €8.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€685k – €2.4M Model value (performance-implied)€609k – €2.1M Projected value (24 months)€639k – €2.3M Dashed line: current market value (€2.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Sam Lammers and Davie Selke
- Lammers is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Selke has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.65 vs 0.54 per 90).
- Selke is estimated to cost far less (€914k vs €1.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Lammers (Bargain Index 55 vs 41) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Lammers High, Selke Very High.