Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Marc Guéhi remove | Jan Paul van Hecke remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 26 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Crystal Palace · Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1683 | 1611 |
| League minutes | 3150 (92%) | 3211 (94%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 100 | 98 |
| Market value | €70.0M | €45.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €49.9M – €103M | €27.2M – €77.6M |
| Model value | €47.1M – €68.4M | €34.1M – €49.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €37.8M – €79.4M | €29.6M – €58.0M |
| Bargain Index | 22/100 | 34/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€49.9M – €103M Model value (performance-implied)€47.1M – €68.4M Projected value (24 months)€37.8M – €79.4M Dashed line: current market value (€70.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€27.2M – €77.6M Model value (performance-implied)€34.1M – €49.0M Projected value (24 months)€29.6M – €58.0M Dashed line: current market value (€45.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Marc Guéhi and Jan Paul van Hecke
- Hecke is estimated to cost far less (€48.0M vs €74.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Hecke (Bargain Index 34 vs 22) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.