Jan Paul van Hecke

The model rates Jan Paul van Hecke's performance-implied value at EUR 34.1M-49.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 27.2M-77.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 29.6M-58.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

3211 (94% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.17

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.13

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

98 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1611

Opponent strength

1602

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€29.6M – €58.0M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 80% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -20% to -3%).

• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.