Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Wilfried Kanga remove | Ivan Sergeev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 31 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | KAA Gent · Jupiler Pro League | FK Dinamo Moskva · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1403 | 1423 |
| League minutes | 2025 (75%) | 1617 (60%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 60 | 45 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €2.8M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.4M – €3.6M | €975k – €3.0M |
| Model value | €1.6M – €5.5M | €1.2M – €3.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €3.8M | €646k – €1.6M |
| Bargain Index | 58/100 | 1/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €3.6M Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €5.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.8M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€975k – €3.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €3.0M Projected value (24 months)€646k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€2.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Wilfried Kanga and Ivan Sergeev
- Kanga is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Kanga was used far more by the club (75% of minutes vs 60%).
- On value for money the model prefers Kanga (Bargain Index 58 vs 1) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kanga Low, Sergeev Very High.