Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ivan Sergeev remove | Sam Lammers remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | FK Dinamo Moskva · Premier Liga | FC Twente Enschede · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1423 | 1403 |
| League minutes | 1617 (60%) | 1546 (51%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 45 | 55 |
| Market value | €2.8M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €975k – €3.0M | €1.1M – €3.6M |
| Model value | €1.2M – €3.0M | €1.7M – €8.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €646k – €1.6M | €1.2M – €3.4M |
| Bargain Index | 1/100 | 55/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€975k – €3.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €3.0M Projected value (24 months)€646k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€2.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.6M Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €8.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ivan Sergeev and Sam Lammers
- On value for money the model prefers Lammers (Bargain Index 55 vs 1) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Sergeev Very High, Lammers High.