Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Edson Álvarez remove | Florian Grillitsch remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 30 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Fenerbahce · Super Lig | SC Braga · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1477 | 1533 |
| League minutes | 768 (25%) | 1129 (37%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 80 | 66 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €8.1M – €15.6M | €778k – €2.9M |
| Model value | €5.0M – €11.9M | €1.1M – €5.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.9M – €10.3M | €847k – €1.8M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 15/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€8.1M – €15.6M Model value (performance-implied)€5.0M – €11.9M Projected value (24 months)€3.9M – €10.3M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€778k – €2.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €5.2M Projected value (24 months)€847k – €1.8M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Edson Álvarez and Florian Grillitsch
- Álvarez is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Grillitsch plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Grillitsch is estimated to cost far less (€1.6M vs €11.2M mid-estimate).