Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Adam Gnezda Cerin remove | Luke McCowan remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 28 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos · Super League 1 | Celtic FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1465 | 1406 |
| League minutes | 1116 (48%) | 1169 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 57 | 53 |
| Market value | €4.5M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.8M – €5.0M | €458k – €1.4M |
| Model value | €1.4M – €5.2M | €1.2M – €4.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.7M – €4.4M | €531k – €1.6M |
| Bargain Index | 39/100 | 59/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.8M – €5.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €5.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €4.4M Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€458k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €4.6M Projected value (24 months)€531k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Adam Gnezda Cerin and Luke McCowan
- McCowan is estimated to cost far less (€870k vs €3.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers McCowan (Bargain Index 59 vs 39) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Cerin Moderate, McCowan High.