Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Dani Fernández remove | Mateus Pivô remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 28 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis · Super League 1 | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1171 | 1182 |
| League minutes | 1266 (47%) | 1149 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 4 | 4 |
| Market value | €700k | €300k |
| Estimated acquisition | €168k – €657k | €83k – €271k |
| Model value | €304k – €503k | €250k – €476k |
| Projected value (24m) | €306k – €597k | €196k – €389k |
| Bargain Index | 79/100 | 96/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€168k – €657k Model value (performance-implied)€304k – €503k Projected value (24 months)€306k – €597k Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€83k – €271k Model value (performance-implied)€250k – €476k Projected value (24 months)€196k – €389k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Dani Fernández and Mateus Pivô
- Pivô plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.42); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Pivô is estimated to cost far less (€111k vs €356k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Pivô (Bargain Index 96 vs 79) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.