Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Yukinari Sugawara remove | Pablo Maffeo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 28 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | RCD Mallorca · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1378 | 1421 |
| League minutes | 2434 (80%) | 2672 (78%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 77 | 72 |
| Market value | €5.5M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.0M – €5.8M | €1.1M – €2.9M |
| Model value | €6.1M – €17.8M | €3.5M – €9.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.3M – €6.2M | €1.2M – €3.1M |
| Bargain Index | 59/100 | 72/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €5.8M Model value (performance-implied)€6.1M – €17.8M Projected value (24 months)€2.3M – €6.2M Dashed line: current market value (€5.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €2.9M Model value (performance-implied)€3.5M – €9.3M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Yukinari Sugawara and Pablo Maffeo
- Sugawara is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Maffeo is estimated to cost far less (€1.8M vs €3.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Maffeo (Bargain Index 72 vs 59) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.