Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Zian Flemming remove | Lukas Nmecha remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 27 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Burnley FC · Premier League | Leeds United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1343 | 1521 |
| League minutes | 1776 (52%) | 1073 (31%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.89 | 0.79 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 77 | 79 |
| Market value | €12.0M | €10.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €6.7M – €19.1M | €4.8M – €12.3M |
| Model value | €4.3M – €17.2M | €6.1M – €16.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.4M – €12.5M | €3.7M – €11.1M |
| Bargain Index | 5/100 | 70/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€6.7M – €19.1M Model value (performance-implied)€4.3M – €17.2M Projected value (24 months)€4.4M – €12.5M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.8M – €12.3M Model value (performance-implied)€6.1M – €16.1M Projected value (24 months)€3.7M – €11.1M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Zian Flemming and Lukas Nmecha
- Flemming has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.89 vs 0.79 per 90).
- Flemming was used far more by the club (52% of minutes vs 31%).
- Nmecha is estimated to cost far less (€6.4M vs €11.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Nmecha (Bargain Index 70 vs 5) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Flemming Low, Nmecha Moderate.