Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Francisco Trincão remove | Guus Til remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 28 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Sporting CP · Liga Portugal | PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1656 | 1606 |
| League minutes | 2857 (93%) | 2247 (73%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 87 | 86 |
| Market value | €40.0M | €15.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €22.1M – €42.6M | €7.1M – €15.8M |
| Model value | €12.7M – €40.4M | €10.3M – €27.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €20.6M – €43.7M | €5.0M – €13.4M |
| Bargain Index | 31/100 | 19/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€22.1M – €42.6M Model value (performance-implied)€12.7M – €40.4M Projected value (24 months)€20.6M – €43.7M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€7.1M – €15.8M Model value (performance-implied)€10.3M – €27.5M Projected value (24 months)€5.0M – €13.4M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Francisco Trincão and Guus Til
- Trincão is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Trincão was used far more by the club (93% of minutes vs 73%).
- Til is estimated to cost far less (€10.6M vs €33.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Trincão (Bargain Index 31 vs 19) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.