Francisco Trincão

The model rates Francisco Trincão's performance-implied value at EUR 12.7M-40.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.1M-42.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 20.6M-43.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (2857 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2857 (93% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.63

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.33

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

87 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.58 (rank 9)

Team strength (Elo)

1656

Opponent strength

1307

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€20.6M – €43.7M

Trajectory drivers: role change RW -> AM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -4% (IQR -24% to +17%).

• ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

58 (MID)

Relative output kept

72%–151%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

78%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.