Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Joe Worrall remove | Eric Bailly remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 32 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Burnley FC · Premier League | Real Oviedo · Laliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1343 | 1294 |
| League minutes | 497 (14%) | 1236 (36%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 64 | 71 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €1.2M |
| Estimated acquisition | €821k – €3.5M | €342k – €1.3M |
| Model value | €1.8M – €5.6M | €656k – €3.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €716k – €1.8M | €416k – €1.1M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 44/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€821k – €3.5M Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €5.6M Projected value (24 months)€716k – €1.8M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€342k – €1.3M Model value (performance-implied)€656k – €3.4M Projected value (24 months)€416k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Joe Worrall and Eric Bailly
- Worrall is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Worrall plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.95); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Bailly was used far more by the club (36% of minutes vs 14%).
- Bailly is estimated to cost far less (€845k vs €1.5M mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Worrall Moderate, Bailly High.