Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jurriën Timber remove | Matheus Nunes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 27 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Arsenal FC · Premier League | Manchester City · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1876 | 1809 |
| League minutes | 2457 (72%) | 2865 (84%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 100 | 99 |
| Market value | €70.0M | €50.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €40.7M – €99.0M | €23.3M – €56.7M |
| Model value | €60.7M – €82.6M | €33.8M – €67.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €36.9M – €69.1M | €23.4M – €39.4M |
| Bargain Index | 10/100 | 14/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€40.7M – €99.0M Model value (performance-implied)€60.7M – €82.6M Projected value (24 months)€36.9M – €69.1M Dashed line: current market value (€70.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€23.3M – €56.7M Model value (performance-implied)€33.8M – €67.9M Projected value (24 months)€23.4M – €39.4M Dashed line: current market value (€50.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jurriën Timber and Matheus Nunes
- Timber is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Nunes is estimated to cost far less (€41.8M vs €71.5M mid-estimate).