Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Niklas Vesterlund remove | Diogo Calila remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 27 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | FC Utrecht · Eredivisie | CD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1352 | 1276 |
| League minutes | 1252 (41%) | 991 (32%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 27 | 21 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €500k |
| Estimated acquisition | €425k – €1.2M | €152k – €375k |
| Model value | €599k – €1.7M | €405k – €946k |
| Projected value (24m) | €684k – €2.0M | €323k – €620k |
| Bargain Index | 86/100 | 98/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€425k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€599k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€684k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€152k – €375k Model value (performance-implied)€405k – €946k Projected value (24 months)€323k – €620k Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Niklas Vesterlund and Diogo Calila
- Calila is estimated to cost far less (€203k vs €566k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Calila (Bargain Index 98 vs 86) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Vesterlund Moderate, Calila High.