Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Roberto Piccoli remove | Lucas Beltrán remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | ACF Fiorentina · Serie A | Valencia CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1506 | 1497 |
| League minutes | 1664 (49%) | 1366 (40%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 72 | 70 |
| Market value | €14.0M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €10.8M – €18.9M | €3.5M – €8.8M |
| Model value | €4.8M – €20.8M | €4.8M – €16.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.1M – €16.2M | €3.0M – €10.2M |
| Bargain Index | 15/100 | 76/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€10.8M – €18.9M Model value (performance-implied)€4.8M – €20.8M Projected value (24 months)€5.1M – €16.2M Dashed line: current market value (€14.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €8.8M Model value (performance-implied)€4.8M – €16.4M Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €10.2M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Roberto Piccoli and Lucas Beltrán
- Beltrán is estimated to cost far less (€4.6M vs €13.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Beltrán (Bargain Index 76 vs 15) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Piccoli Moderate, Beltrán High.