Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Nikola Krstović removeHugo Duro remove
Age2626
PositionStrikerStriker
Club · leagueAtalanta BC · Serie AValencia CF · Laliga
League strength0.930.95
Team strength (Elo)15881497
League minutes1786 (52%)1982 (58%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.760.45
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.510.49
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile8482
Market value€30.0M€12.0M
Estimated acquisition€22.9M – €42.0M€7.5M – €15.0M
Model value€9.3M – €34.1M€8.7M – €29.3M
Projected value (24m)€16.4M – €42.2M€4.5M – €13.0M
Bargain Index23/10019/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateLow
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€22.9M – €42.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€9.3M – €34.1M
Projected value (24 months)€16.4M – €42.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€7.5M – €15.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€8.7M – €29.3M
Projected value (24 months)€4.5M – €13.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Nikola Krstović and Hugo Duro

  • Duro is estimated to cost far less (€11.4M vs €31.6M mid-estimate).
  • Risk differs: Krstović Moderate, Duro Low.