Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Charles De Ketelaere remove | Paul Nebel remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 23 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Atalanta BC · Serie A | 1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1588 | 1485 |
| League minutes | 2190 (64%) | 2078 (68%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 92 | 79 |
| Market value | €30.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €17.6M – €36.5M | €7.3M – €16.9M |
| Model value | €19.2M – €57.7M | €8.0M – €29.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €13.2M – €39.9M | €8.5M – €28.0M |
| Bargain Index | 32/100 | 95/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€17.6M – €36.5M Model value (performance-implied)€19.2M – €57.7M Projected value (24 months)€13.2M – €39.9M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€7.3M – €16.9M Model value (performance-implied)€8.0M – €29.7M Projected value (24 months)€8.5M – €28.0M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Charles De Ketelaere and Paul Nebel
- Nebel is estimated to cost far less (€9.7M vs €27.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Nebel (Bargain Index 95 vs 32) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Ketelaere Low, Nebel Moderate.