Charles De Ketelaere

25 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also ST) · Belgium
Atalanta BC · Serie A · Foot: left · Height: 192 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€30.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€17.6M – €36.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€19.2M – €57.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€13.2M – €39.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€17.3M – €40.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€17.6M – €36.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€19.2M – €57.7M
Projected value (24 months)€13.2M – €39.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Charles De Ketelaere's performance-implied value at EUR 19.2M-57.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 17.6M-36.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 13.2M-39.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.70x the positional average in the league (2190 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 32

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite91.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €27.5M vs market €30.0M
Expected appreciationLow-21% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €38.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2190 (64% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.33
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.28
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
92 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1588
Opponent strength
1483
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€13.2M – €39.9M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-91 Elo); relative output down 28% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -60% to +2%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Atalanta BCSerie AAM31219064%350.330.28148315880.93
2024/25Atalanta BCSerie AAM36208061%780.650.39146916790.99
2023/24Atalanta BCSerie AST35204260%1080.790.62149717090.98
2022/23AC MilanSerie AAM32110132%010.080.15144916220.94
2021/22Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueST33273189%1470.690.41132815120.49
2020/21Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueAM32199665%340.320.18133615700.55
2019/20Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueST1376929%110.230.27139515780.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueAtalanta BC8585221625
2025/26Italy CupAtalanta BC326400—
2025/26World CupBelgium215100—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueAtalanta BC10703451617
2024/25Italy CupAtalanta BC211920—
2024/25Uefa Super CupAtalanta BC162001881
2024/25Supercoppa ItalianaAtalanta BC134001833
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueAtalanta BC11611221638
2023/24Italy CupAtalanta BC428721—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueAC Milan6235001657
2022/23Italy CupAC Milan112000—
2022/23Supercoppa ItalianaAC Milan125001704
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV6500011727
2021/22Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV190001414
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV6458221602
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV190001504
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV4126001639
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV239001665

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mattéo Guendouzi
Serie A · 2024
25€25.0M€27.0Mflat
Andrea Cambiaso
Serie A · 2024
24€25.0M€20.0Mfell
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Serie A · 2020
24€32.0M€45.0Mrose
Kevin-Prince Boateng
Serie A · 2013
26€15.0M€6.0Mfell
Manuel Locatelli
Serie A · 2023
25€30.0M€30.0Mflat
Tiemoué Bakayoko
Serie A · 2019
25€35.0M€20.0Mfell
Houssem Aouar
Ligue 1 · 2022
24€25.0M€10.0Mfell
Cengiz Ünder
Ligue 1 · 2023
26€20.0M€7.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024AC MilanAtalanta€23.7M€34.0M
30 Jun 2024AtalantaAC MilanFree / loan€34.0M
16 Aug 2023AC MilanAtalantaFree / loan€22.0M
2 Aug 2022Club BruggeAC Milan€37.5M€30.0M
1 Jul 2019FC Brügge U21Club BruggeUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2018FC Brügge U17FC Brügge U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Club Brugge YthFC Brügge U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.