Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ramon Hendriks remove | Rafa Marín remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga | Villarreal CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1567 | 1544 |
| League minutes | 2023 (66%) | 1980 (58%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 78 | 76 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €12.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €19.7M – €36.3M | €8.8M – €18.6M |
| Model value | €6.0M – €19.4M | €5.1M – €14.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €13.7M – €34.6M | €6.3M – €27.4M |
| Bargain Index | 21/100 | 52/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€19.7M – €36.3M Model value (performance-implied)€6.0M – €19.4M Projected value (24 months)€13.7M – €34.6M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€8.8M – €18.6M Model value (performance-implied)€5.1M – €14.5M Projected value (24 months)€6.3M – €27.4M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ramon Hendriks and Rafa Marín
- Marín is estimated to cost far less (€12.6M vs €26.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Marín (Bargain Index 52 vs 21) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Hendriks Low, Marín Moderate.