Ramon Hendriks
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ramon Hendriks's performance-implied value at EUR 6.0M-19.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 19.7M-36.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 13.7M-34.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 21
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 77.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €26.9M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2023 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 78 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1567
- Opponent strength
- 1507
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €13.7M – €34.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 29 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -26% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | CB | 31 | 2023 | 66% | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 1507 | 1567 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | CB | 25 | 1141 | 37% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 1533 | 1531 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | CB | 31 | 2645 | 86% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1358 | 1158 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | LB | 4 | 299 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1241 | 1392 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 8 | 241 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1334 | 1609 | 0.60 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 12 | 826 | 0 | 0 | 1486 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 459 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1760 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 305 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 4 | 354 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merih Demiral Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €25.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Federico Gatti Serie A · 2024 | 26 | €18.0M | €14.0M | fell |
| Perr Schuurs Serie A · 2023 | 24 | €25.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Ramy Bensebaini Bundesliga · 2021 | 26 | €22.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Luiz Felipe Serie A · 2020 | 23 | €16.0M | €16.0M | flat |
| Bryan Cristante Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €18.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Duje Caleta-Car Ligue 1 · 2020 | 24 | €20.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Unai Núñez Laliga · 2021 | 24 | €20.0M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Feyenoord | Stuttgart | €1.0M | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Vitesse | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €800k |
| 31 Aug 2023 | Feyenoord | Vitesse | Free / loan | €750k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Utrecht | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Feyenoord | Utrecht | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | NAC Breda | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €500k |
| 5 Jan 2021 | Feyenoord | NAC Breda | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Feyenoord U21 | Feyenoord | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Feyenoord U19 | Feyenoord U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Feyenoord U17 | Feyenoord U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Dordrecht Youth | Feyenoord U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | ASWH Jugend | Dordrecht Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.