Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Tim Freriks remove | Brynjólfur Willumsson remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Viborg FF · Superliga | FC Groningen · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1286 | 1248 |
| League minutes | 1107 (56%) | 1208 (40%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 9 | 14 |
| Market value | €550k | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €204k – €718k | €294k – €795k |
| Model value | €337k – €865k | €274k – €657k |
| Projected value (24m) | €306k – €781k | €474k – €1.3M |
| Bargain Index | 81/100 | 96/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€204k – €718k Model value (performance-implied)€337k – €865k Projected value (24 months)€306k – €781k Dashed line: current market value (€550k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€294k – €795k Model value (performance-implied)€274k – €657k Projected value (24 months)€474k – €1.3M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Tim Freriks and Brynjólfur Willumsson
- Freriks was used far more by the club (56% of minutes vs 40%).
- On value for money the model prefers Willumsson (Bargain Index 96 vs 81) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Freriks Moderate, Willumsson High.