Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jovane Cabral remove | Renaldo Cephas remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | CF Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal | FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1195 | 1176 |
| League minutes | 1679 (55%) | 1126 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 20 | 7 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €281k – €1.0M | €299k – €782k |
| Model value | €508k – €1.1M | €422k – €791k |
| Projected value (24m) | €457k – €989k | €466k – €1.2M |
| Bargain Index | 72/100 | 88/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€281k – €1.0M Model value (performance-implied)€508k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€457k – €989k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€299k – €782k Model value (performance-implied)€422k – €791k Projected value (24 months)€466k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jovane Cabral and Renaldo Cephas
- On value for money the model prefers Cephas (Bargain Index 88 vs 72) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Cabral Moderate, Cephas High.