Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Rigoberto Rivas remove | Savvas Mourgos remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Kocaelispor · Super Lig | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1188 | 1129 |
| League minutes | 1176 (38%) | 1029 (44%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 4 | 2 |
| Market value | €1.2M | €400k |
| Estimated acquisition | €301k – €820k | €102k – €316k |
| Model value | €246k – €511k | €243k – €445k |
| Projected value (24m) | €480k – €1.2M | €260k – €456k |
| Bargain Index | 77/100 | 92/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€301k – €820k Model value (performance-implied)€246k – €511k Projected value (24 months)€480k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€102k – €316k Model value (performance-implied)€243k – €445k Projected value (24 months)€260k – €456k Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Rigoberto Rivas and Savvas Mourgos
- Mourgos has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.39 vs 0.28 per 90).
- Mourgos is estimated to cost far less (€136k vs €402k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mourgos (Bargain Index 92 vs 77) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Rivas Very High, Mourgos High.