Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Koen Kostons remove | Tonni Adamsen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 31 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | Silkeborg IF · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1186 | 1213 |
| League minutes | 2888 (94%) | 1818 (92%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 37 | 25 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €582k – €1.9M | €491k – €1.6M |
| Model value | €628k – €1.9M | €377k – €996k |
| Projected value (24m) | €728k – €2.4M | €451k – €1.1M |
| Bargain Index | 57/100 | 35/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€582k – €1.9M Model value (performance-implied)€628k – €1.9M Projected value (24 months)€728k – €2.4M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€491k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€377k – €996k Projected value (24 months)€451k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Koen Kostons and Tonni Adamsen
- Kostons is 5 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Kostons (Bargain Index 57 vs 35) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.