Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lucas Lund remove | Calum Ward remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 25 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Viborg FF · Superliga | Motherwell FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1286 | 1245 |
| League minutes | 1980 (100%) | 2970 (100%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 22 | 26 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €592k – €2.1M | €270k – €1.2M |
| Model value | €404k – €977k | €495k – €1.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.1M – €3.4M | €561k – €1.6M |
| Bargain Index | 98/100 | 74/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€592k – €2.1M Model value (performance-implied)€404k – €977k Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€270k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€495k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€561k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lucas Lund and Calum Ward
- Lund plays in a stronger league (0.47 vs 0.31); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- On value for money the model prefers Lund (Bargain Index 98 vs 74) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Lund High, Ward Moderate.