Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Cucho Hernández remove | Gorka Guruzeta remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | Athletic Bilbao · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1549 | 1451 |
| League minutes | 2595 (76%) | 2370 (69%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 86 | 82 |
| Market value | €18.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €13.1M – €22.1M | €2.4M – €6.0M |
| Model value | €12.5M – €29.5M | €6.2M – €10.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.5M – €19.9M | €1.6M – €4.0M |
| Bargain Index | 25/100 | 9/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€13.1M – €22.1M Model value (performance-implied)€12.5M – €29.5M Projected value (24 months)€7.5M – €19.9M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.4M – €6.0M Model value (performance-implied)€6.2M – €10.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.6M – €4.0M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Cucho Hernández and Gorka Guruzeta
- Hernández is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Guruzeta is estimated to cost far less (€3.8M vs €16.6M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Hernández (Bargain Index 25 vs 9) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.