Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Marco Carnesecchi remove | Noah Atubolu remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 24 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Atalanta BC · Serie A | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1588 | 1551 |
| League minutes | 3330 (97%) | 3060 (100%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 85 |
| Market value | €30.0M | €25.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €22.2M – €37.9M | €11.6M – €26.4M |
| Model value | €12.2M – €41.1M | €10.1M – €29.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €18.3M – €48.1M | €15.3M – €40.4M |
| Bargain Index | 54/100 | 89/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€22.2M – €37.9M Model value (performance-implied)€12.2M – €41.1M Projected value (24 months)€18.3M – €48.1M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€11.6M – €26.4M Model value (performance-implied)€10.1M – €29.1M Projected value (24 months)€15.3M – €40.4M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Marco Carnesecchi and Noah Atubolu
- Atubolu is estimated to cost far less (€15.4M vs €27.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Atubolu (Bargain Index 89 vs 54) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.